Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Mezokovesd-Zsory had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Mezokovesd-Zsory win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.