Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.