Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 18
Feb 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
3 - 0
Ujpest

Gey (20'), Jurina (36'), Kocsis (58')
Nemeth (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hall (15'), Morschel (55'), Radosevic (85'), Radosevic (86')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Ujpest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Diosgyor 3-3 MTK
Saturday, December 16 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 4-0 Ujpest
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
MTKDrawUjpest
36.34% (1.525 1.53)25.09% (-0.023 -0.02)38.56% (-1.504 -1.5)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (0.281 0.28)46.1% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (0.265 0.27)68.4% (-0.267 -0.27)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (0.998 1)24.83% (-1.002 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (1.373 1.37)59.42% (-1.375 -1.38)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.643 -0.64)23.64% (0.64 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.937 -0.94)57.73% (0.934 0.93)
Score Analysis
    MTK 36.34%
    Ujpest 38.56%
    Draw 25.09%
MTKDrawUjpest
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.19 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.56%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Ujpest
0-2
MTK

Ganea (87')
Bognar (25'), Nemeth (72')
Vegh (49'), Kata (50')