Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 12pm UK
Szektoi Stadion

Kecskemeti TE
1 - 2
MTK

Horvath (45+1' pen.)
Zeke (17'), Horvath (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Antonov (13' pen., 61' pen.)
Thiam (22'), Vegh (29'), Bognar (32'), Varju (64'), Gey (78'), Nemeth (90')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Kecskemeti TE and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kecskemeti TE

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 3-3 Kecskemeti TE
Sunday, November 26 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: Varda SE 3-1 MTK
Saturday, November 25 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.

Result
Kecskemeti TEDrawMTK
35.63% (-0.124 -0.12)25.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)38.58% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.91% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.117 -0.12)49.28% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.106 -0.11)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Kecskemeti TE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.126 -0.13)26.72% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)61.99% (0.171 0.17)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kecskemeti TE 35.63%
    MTK 38.58%
    Draw 25.78%
Kecskemeti TEDrawMTK
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.63%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.58%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4.45pm
Gameweek 4
MTK
1-0
Kecskemeti TE
Gey (84')
Kata (15'), Zsori (45+2'), Horvath (67')

Zoltan Nagy (69'), Zoltan Nagy (70')