Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for MTK had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.