Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Szonyi uti Stadion

MTK
0 - 5
Puskas Academy


Stieber (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batik (10'), Gruber (38'), Corbu (65'), Nagy (74'), Favorov (90+1')
Corbu (58')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Puskas Academy.

Form, Standings, Stats

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 3-0 MTK
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Hungarian NB I

Puskas Academy

All competitions
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-0 Varda SE
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for MTK had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.

Result
MTKDrawPuskas Academy
27.3% (-0.162 -0.16)24.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)48.16% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.105 -0.1)47.05% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.099 -0.1)69.29% (0.097000000000008 0.1)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)31.16% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.208 -0.21)67.49% (0.208 0.21)
Puskas Academy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.6% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MTK 27.3%
    Puskas Academy 48.16%
    Draw 24.53%
MTKDrawPuskas Academy
1-0 @ 7.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.3%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.16%