Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kecskemeti TE win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kecskemeti TE win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kecskemeti TE would win this match.