Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
2 - 1
Debrecen

Thiam (33'), Stieber (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Szecsi (50')
Lagator (57'), Manrique (76')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Debrecen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 1-2 MTK
Saturday, December 2 at 12pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 0-0 Debrecen
Saturday, December 2 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for MTK had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
MTKDrawDebrecen
31.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)26.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)42.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.39% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)30.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.42%
Score Analysis
    MTK 31.46%
    Debrecen 42.42%
    Draw 26.12%
MTKDrawDebrecen
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.46%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.42%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Debrecen
1-3
MTK
Barany (7')
Domingues (88')
Bobal (10'), Bognar (13'), Nemeth (63')
Gey (24'), Bobal (66'), Kadar (84')