Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for MTK had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.