Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
ZTE-Arena

Zalaegerszegi TE
1 - 2
Debrecen

Croizet (38')
Mance (26'), Evangelou (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dzsudzsak (56'), Varkonyi (68' og.)
Barany (34'), Vajda (44'), Oliveira (90+4')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Zalaegerszegi TE and Debrecen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MTK 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Debrecen 1-0 Paksi SE
Sunday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.

Result
Zalaegerszegi TEDrawDebrecen
31% (-1.105 -1.11)25.36% (0.389 0.39)43.64% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.798 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (-2.125 -2.13)48.57% (2.126 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31% (-1.969 -1.97)70.69% (1.969 1.97)
Zalaegerszegi TE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-1.781 -1.78)29.29% (1.781 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (-2.241 -2.24)65.26% (2.241 2.24)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-0.569 -0.57)22.21% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (-0.864 -0.86)55.63% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Zalaegerszegi TE 31%
    Debrecen 43.64%
    Draw 25.35%
Zalaegerszegi TEDrawDebrecen
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.304 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.552 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.675 0.68)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.39 0.39)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.136 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.64%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Debrecen
1-0
Zalaegerszegi TE
Kiziridis (83')
Kiziridis (90+5')

Milovanovikj (28'), Gergenyi (88'), Ikoba (90+2')