Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for MTK had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.