Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MTK	Draw	Fehervar
42.67% ( 0.19)	26.22% ( 0.02)	31.11% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-0.16)

52.14% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0.14)

73.85% (

0.14)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

0.02)

24.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

0.03)

58.58% (

-0.03)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.23)

31.02% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0.27)

67.33% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

MTK 42.67%

Fehervar 31.11%

Draw 26.22%

MTK	Draw	Fehervar
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.11%