Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
West Ham

Lehmann (72')
Patten (64'), Dali (90+4'), Turner (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooke (90+5')
Smith (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and West Ham United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League

West Ham United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest West Ham United Women win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
58.37% (0.809 0.81)20% (-0.186 -0.19)21.63% (-0.621 -0.62)
Both teams to score 64.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41% (0.090999999999994 0.09)31.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91% (0.10599999999999 0.11)53.08% (-0.105 -0.11)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (0.23999999999999 0.24)10.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.18% (0.53 0.53)34.81% (-0.529 -0.53)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.461 -0.46)27.25% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.602 -0.6)62.67% (0.605 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 58.37%
    West Ham United Women 21.63%
    Draw 20%
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 58.37%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 21.63%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
West Ham
2-3
Aston Villa
Asseyi (27' pen.), Evans (80')
Stringer (39'), Filis (49'), Cooke (85')
Patten (31'), Leon (50'), Daly (90+2')
Mayling (21'), Daly (85'), Nobbs (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
West Ham
1-2
Aston Villa
Asseyi (79')
Daly (34'), Nobbs (62')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
1-2
West Ham
Dali (77')
Brynjarsdottir (2'), Hayashi (14')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
1-2
West Ham
Lehmann (42' pen.)
Stringer (12'), Svitkova (52')
Stringer (36'), Walker (40'), Longhurst (60')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 2
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Leon (8')
Stringer (65')
Allen (90+2')
Littlejohn (66')
> Match Report