Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
1 - 4
Liverpool Women

Mayling (37' pen.)
Mayling (37')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fisk (19'), Roman Haug (29'), Koivisto (60', 82')
Bonner (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, February 18 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
50.33% (-0.188 -0.19)22.16% (-0.235 -0.23)27.5% (0.428 0.43)
Both teams to score 63.84% (1.248 1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (1.48 1.48)35.93% (-1.476 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (1.61 1.61)58.02% (-1.606 -1.61)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4% (0.46899999999999 0.47)14.6% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.31% (0.893 0.89)42.69% (-0.889 -0.89)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (1.06 1.06)25.25% (-1.056 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (1.437 1.44)60% (-1.433 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 50.33%
    Liverpool Women 27.5%
    Draw 22.16%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.5%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool Women
2-0
Aston Villa
Therese Hobinger (21'), Flint (77')
Daniels (45+1'), Hinds (66'), Lawley (90+4')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 21
Aston Villa
3-3
Liverpool Women
Hanson (7', 70'), Daly (45+1')
Staniforth (85')
Stengel (37', 62'), Dowie (40')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 7
Liverpool Women
0-1
Aston Villa
Daly (57' pen.)
> Preview