Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
23.74% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 51.05% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.92% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.59% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( 0.08) | 74.24% ( -0.08) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( 0.04) | 37.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% ( 0.04) | 73.91% ( -0.04) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.05) | 20.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( 0.08) | 53.16% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.74% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |