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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

 Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.36% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 41.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.184 0.18)47.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.169 0.17)69.99% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)27.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)62.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.11500000000001 0.12)23.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.168 0.17)56.82% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.35%
    Newport County 41.28%
    Draw 25.36%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.28%

How you voted: Crawley vs Newport

Crawley Town
44.8%
Draw
31.0%
Newport County
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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