MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 03:27:21| >> :120:15468:15468:
[monks data]
Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Jun 25, 2020 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Arsenal logo

Southampton
0 - 2
Arsenal


Stephens (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nketiah (20'), Willock (87')
Mustafi (11'), Saka (48')

Preview: Southampton vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Arsenal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Arsenal will be desperately looking to claim their first points of Project Restart when they travel to Southampton on Thursday evening.

The Gunners have suffered back-to-back losses since returning to Premier League action, whereas Southampton picked up victory against Norwich City in their first game back.


Match preview

Arsenal striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang pictured in February 2020© Reuters

The same old questions have been asked of Arsenal's mental strength after once again throwing away victory in Saturday's trip to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Mikel Arteta's side led 1-0 at the Amex Stadium through Nicolas Pepe's wonder strike, only for Lewis Dunk to equalise 15 minutes from time and Neal Maupay to snatch all three points for Brighton deep into added time.

Arsenal have now lost 10 points from winning positions in their 12 top-flight outings under Arteta - as many as they had lost in their previous 36 combined under Freddie Ljungberg and Unai Emery.

The defeat to Brighton came three days on from a pretty routine 3-0 loss at Manchester City, with the reigning champions not really having to move out of second gear to pick up the win.

Having been on an 11-game unbeaten run on their travels in all competitions, then, it is now back-to-back away defeats for the Gunners and a serious rethink is required.

Southampton will be looking to pile on the misery in this midweek clash as they go in search of the win that would all but make certain of their Premier League safety.

Southampton players celebrate a goal from Danny Ings on June 19, 2020© Reuters

The Saints board have been proved right in their decision to stick with Ralph Hasenhuttl earlier in the campaign when things looked bleak, with Friday's 3-0 victory against Norwich moving them 10 points clear of the dropzone.

With games against the likes of Watford, Everton, Brighton and Bournemouth to come in their remaining eight fixtures, Hasenhuttl's men can surely start preparing for the 2020-21 campaign.

Ending this season on a high will be the immediate aim for the Saints, of course, and they tend to do well in this fixture, winning three of the last five league encounters.

While the South Coast side have little left to play for on the face of it, Arsenal are in desperate need of victory to close the four-point gap on Sheffield United in seventh.

A season without any sort of European football seems unthinkable for the Gunners, particularly at a time when they are locked in contract talks with star man Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

The Gabon striker, incidentally, has scored 49 Premier League goals, and one more here will see him become the sixth-fastest player to reach 50 in the competition (78 games).

Southampton's Premier League form: LLWLLW
Southampton's form (all competitions): LLWLLW

Arsenal's Premier League form: DWWWLL
Arsenal's form (all competitions): WLWWLL


Team News

Arsenal defender Pablo Mari lies injured against Man City on June 17, 2020© Reuters

If losing back-to-back matches since the restart was not bad enough for Arteta, the Spaniard has also lost three players to potential long-term injuries.

Granit Xhaka and Pablo Mari went off early on against Man City, while goalkeeper Bernd Leno was stretchered off in the defeat to Brighton.

With Lucas Torreira, Calum Chambers, Cedric Soares and Sokratis Papastathopoulos also out, and David Luiz still suspended, Arteta has little room to manoeuvre in terms of team selection.

Matteo Guendouzi did at least escape retrospective action for grabbing Maupay by the throat last time out and is therefore expected to start in a depleted central midfield, which may include Mesut Ozil for the first time since early March.

As for Southampton, they remain without Moussa Djenepo following his dismissal against Newcastle United prior to March's lockdown.

Hasenhuttl could stick with the same lineup from the well-earned win over Norwich given the six-day gap between matches.

What is almost certain is that Danny Ings will continue to lead the line, with the Englishman having scored three goals in his last two Premier League appearances against Arsenal.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Valery, Stephens, Bednarek, Bertrand; Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Redmond; Ings, Obafemi

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Bellerin, Mustafi, Holding, Tierney; Ceballos, Guendouzi, Saka; Pepe, Nketiah, Aubameyang


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal

Southampton have lost more home games than any other side in the Premier League this season. On the back of a morale-boosting win over Norwich last time out, however, we are backing the Saints to make a bad week even worse for Arsenal by picking up their first draw of 2020.



ID:403564: cacheID:403564:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:10034:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Matteo Guendouzi squares up to Brighton players on June 20, 2020
Read Next:
Matteo Guendouzi escapes FA action after grabbing Neal Maupay by the throat
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
10am
Auger-Aliassime
Mannarino
10am
Bautista Agut
Khachanov
10am
Cachin
Tiafoe
10am
De Minaur
Nadal
10am
Dimitrov
Mensik
10am
Jarry
Cobolli
10am
Kecmanovic
Ruud
10am
Kotov
Thompson
10am
Lehecka
Medjedovic
10am
Machac
Shelton
10am
Medvedev
Arnaldi
10am
Monteiro
Tsitsipas
10am
Norrie
Fonseca
10am
Purcell
Korda
10am
Sinner
Sonego
10am
Azarenka
Sorribes Tormo
10am
Annie Fernandez
Jabeur
10am
Gauff
Yastremska
10am
Haddad Maia
Navarro
10am
Keys
Samsonova
10am
Ostapenko
Lourdes Carle
10am
Stephens
Sakkari
10am
Swiatek
Cirstea
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!