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NederlandZwei Mannschaften, die sich beim letzten Mal von ihren jeweiligen Niederlagen erholen wollen, treten im Estadio do Dragao an direkter vergleich an, während Porto am Sonntag Gastgeber von Vitoria de Guimaraes ist.
Die Gastgeber gehen frisch nach einer Niederlage der Champions League gegen Liverpool ins Spiel, während die Besucher eine 3:2 -Pokal-Niederlage gegen Moreirense erlitten.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
