Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.