Die Wochenendaktion der Bundesliga umfasst das größte Derbys im Rheinland am Samstagnachmittag, wobei der FC Köln seine Rivalen Borussia Mönchengladbach im RheinEnergieStadion beherbergt.
Die Gastgeber haben nur einen ihrer letzten neun Ligaausflüge im Derby gewonnen, während die Besucher während eines Aufschwunges in jüngster Form nach einem langsamen Start der Kampagne weiter in die Tabelle klettern.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.