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PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Nov 29, 2020 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Sparta Rotterdam logo

PSV
1 - 0
Sparta

Malen (78')
Ledezma (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mijnans (66'), Engels (81'), Meijers (83')

Preview: PSV Eindhoven vs. Sparta Rotterdam - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

PSV Eindhoven will be looking to boost their title credentials with a win over mid-table Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday.

Roger Schmidt's side are four points off the pace with nine games played, and will be eager to wrest the title back from Ajax this season.


Match preview

PSV Eindhoven players celebrate in October 2020© Reuters

PSV's last Eredivisie title came in the 2017-18 season, but they were narrowly pipped to the post by Ajax the year after, and Ajax were top of the table when the season was called off last year.

PSV are once again narrowly behind their title rivals, sitting fourth in the league with nine games played.

Having said that, Roger Schmidt's side have not had a bad season so far. They have picked up 20 points from their first nine games, losing just once.

They also boast the second-best defensive record and the fourth-best goalscoring record in the league, scoring 20 and shipping just six.

Meanwhile, Sparta are heading for a stable, mid-table finish in their second season after coming up from the Eerste Divisie in 2018.

They were 11th and comfortably clear of the relegation places when last season was cancelled, and look set for a repeat performance this time around.

Sparta's campaign started as a struggle, picking up just three points from their first seven games, but two wins in succession have turned things around.

PSV may prove too strong as opponents, but the success of Sparta's season is unlikely to be defined by their performances against the division's powerhouses.

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form: WLWWD
PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions): WLWDW

Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie form: DDLWW
Sparta Rotterdam form (all competitions): DLLWW


Team News

PSV Eindhoven head coach Roger Schmidt pictured in October 2020© Reuters

PSV boss Schmidt is struggling with a number of injuries as he prepares for the visit of Sparta.

Mohammed Ihattaren, Ryan Thomas, Mario Gotze, Armando Obispo and Erick Gutierrez are all likely to be sidelined with injuries.

Maximiliano Romero is also a doubt with a knee injury.

Meanwhile, Sparta head coach Henk Fraser has close to a full complement to pick from.

Tim Coremans is out with a knee injury and is not expected to return for around a month.

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Dumfries, Teze, Boscagli, Max; Gakpo, Sangare, Rosario, Madueke; Zahavi, Malen

Sparta Rotterdam possible starting lineup:
Okoye; Abels, Vriends, Heylen, Pinto; Auassar, Harroui; Mijnans, Smeets, Duarte; Thy


SM words green background

We say: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have found form, but PSV are among the league's title contenders and, especially at home, should record a comfortable victory.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.


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