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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union

NY City
1 - 3
Philadelphia

Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Union appear to be hitting their stride, while New York are trying to get their groove back, and although the home side have more individual quality to boast, continuity can often be a determining factor, something the Union have in abundance.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.83% (-0.137 -0.14) 24.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.84% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.86% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.108 -0.11)50.32% (0.102 0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)35.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)71.75% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.82%
    Philadelphia Union 23.84%
    Draw 24.32%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
NY City
1-1
Philadelphia
Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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