Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.54% ( -0) | 25.86% ( -0) | 23.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.88% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 0) | 55.19% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( 0) | 76.43% ( -0) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( -0) | 21.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.87% ( -0) | 55.13% ( 0) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.29% ( 0) | 38.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.55% ( 0) | 75.45% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.06% Total : 50.54% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |