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[monks data]
Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 34
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Getafe logo

Osasuna
0 - 0
Getafe


Sanjurjo (16'), Hernandez (37'), Navas (39'), Perez (79'), Arnaiz (90+5')
FT

Mata (71'), Cucurella (85'), Molina (87'), Chema (90+3')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Getafe - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Getafe, including team news and predicted lineups.

Osasuna will be looking to make it four La Liga victories in a row when they welcome top-four challengers Getafe to Estadio El Sadar on Sunday night.

The home side have won their last three in Spain's top flight during a strong run of form, but Getafe have seen their Champions League hopes falter due to a run of just one win in seven matches.


Match preview

Osasuna manager Jagoba Arrasate in August 2019.© Reuters

Osasuna secured a return to Spain's top flight courtesy of winning the Segunda Division last season and therefore consolidating at this level was always going to be the club's number one priority.

Los Rojillos are already safe from the threat of relegation and will be looking up the division rather than down at this stage, with a total of 44 points leaving them in 11th position in the table.

Jagoba Arrasate's side only picked up one point from their three matches immediately after the lockdown period, but they have won their last three during an impressive run of form.

Indeed, victories over Alaves and Leganes were followed by a 2-0 success at Eibar on Thursday night, and the Reds are now just four points off eighth-placed Athletic Bilbao, which is an indication of how impressive they have been on their return to this level of football.

Marc Cucurella in Europa League action for Getafe in December 2019© Reuters

Getafe, meanwhile, will enter Sunday's match off the back of a 1-0 defeat to Real Madrid on Thursday night, with Sergio Ramos deciding the contest from the penalty spot late on.

The capital side are currently sixth in the table, five points off fourth-placed Sevilla as they battle for a spot in the top four, which would be some achievement for the club.

Jose Bordalas's side are not in the best of form, though, having only won one of their last seven in Spain's top flight, with their only victory during that run coming at home to Real Sociedad at the end of June.

Getafe certainly have work to do if they are to claim a top-four spot come the end of the season, but they have only won one of their last seven La Liga matches against their opponents this weekend.

Osasuna La Liga form: DLLWWW

Getafe La Liga form: LDDDWL


Team News

Real Madrid's Gareth Bale challenges Getafe's Mauro Arambarri for the ball in La Liga on April 25, 2019© Reuters

Osasuna will be unable to call upon Enric Gallego this weekend as the forward is suspended courtesy of the yellow card that he picked up in his side's 2-0 victory at Eibar.

Ruben Martinez, Robert Ibanez and Ezequiel Avila are all injured, meanwhile, meaning that the home side will not be at full strength for this weekend's contest.

Marc Cardona is in line to replace Gallego in the final third of the field, although there are not expected to be too many changes from the side that started last time out.

As for Getafe, Erick Cabaco is again expected to miss out with an ankle problem, while a back injury is likely to keep Filip Manojlovic on the sidelines once again.

The capital side played a 4-5-1 formation against Madrid on Thursday night but should return to a front two for this game, with Jorge Molina likely to join Jaime Mata in the final third of the field.

Timor could be the player to drop out for the visitors, with Nemanja Maksimovic likely to be joined by Mauro Arambarri in the middle of the park.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, Aridane, D Garcia, Lato; Torres, Oier, Moncayola, R Garcia; Arnaiz, Cardona

Getafe possible starting lineup:
Soria; Suarez, Dakonam, Etxeita, Olivera; Nyom, Maksimovic, Arambarri, Cucurella; Mata, Molina


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Osasuna 1-1 Getafe

Getafe will be determined to pick up all three points as they battle for a top-four spot, but Osasuna's recent form has been excellent and cannot be ignored; we are expecting a tight match in Pamplona and are ultimately struggling to separate the two sides, tipping a low-scoring draw.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.


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