Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
45.15% ( -0.7) | 24.86% ( 0.28) | 29.99% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% ( -1.02) | 46.86% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.89% ( -0.96) | 69.11% ( 0.96) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( -0.72) | 20.81% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.52% ( -1.15) | 53.48% ( 1.15) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( -0.23) | 29.12% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% ( -0.28) | 65.04% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |