Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 66.44% | 19.67% | 13.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% | 43.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% | 66.31% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% | 12.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.87% | 38.13% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.65% | 43.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.42% | 79.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 11.7% 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.26% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 0-0 @ 5.34% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.67% | 0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.89% |