Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Boavista |
| 36.46% ( | 27.56% ( | 35.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( | 77.55% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( | 29.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( | 65.81% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( | 66.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.97% |