Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 42.58% ( | 27.01% ( | 30.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( | 76.66% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( | 33.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( | 69.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.4% |