Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
0 - 5
Sporting Lisbon

van Ginkel (43'), Reisinho (49'), Bozenik (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gyokeres (6', 45+1', 50', 90+2'), Araujo (57')
Goncalves (44'), Hjulmand (45+3'), Araujo (59'), Diomande (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Boavista
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 22 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.44%) and 0-1 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
7.26% ( 0.01)	14.56% ( 0.05)	78.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.43% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.04% (

-0.21)

39.96% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.68% (

-0.21)

62.32% (

0.22)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.29% (

-0.12)

53.71% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.9% (

-0.08)

87.1% (

0.08)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.67% (

-0.06)

8.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.98% (

-0.15)

29.02% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Boavista 7.26%

Sporting Lisbon 78.16%

Draw 14.56%

Boavista	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.26%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.56%	0-2 @ 13.81% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 11.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 78.16%