Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.44%) and 0-1 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
7.26% (![]() | 14.56% (![]() | 78.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.04% (![]() | 39.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.68% (![]() | 62.32% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.29% (![]() | 53.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.9% (![]() | 87.1% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.67% (![]() | 8.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.98% (![]() | 29.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 2.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.26% | 1-1 @ 6.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.56% | 0-2 @ 13.81% (![]() 0-3 @ 11.44% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 11.11% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 78.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |