Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.44%) and 0-1 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.