Arouca vs Boavista - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.