Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
4 - 1
Boavista

Puche (7'), Trezza (17'), Araujo (25'), Nandin (90+4')
Puche (63')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Bozenik (22')
Silva (33'), Ferreira (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Porto
Sunday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Boavista
45.86% ( -0.04)	26.53% ( -0.19)	27.6% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

0.85)

54.92% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

0.7)

76.21% (

-0.7)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

0.35)

23.89% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9% (

0.5)

58.1% (

-0.5)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91% (

0.65)

35.08% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

0.67)

71.83% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Arouca 45.86%

Boavista 27.6%

Draw 26.53%

Arouca	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.86%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca

57.1%

Draw

14.3%

Boavista

28.6%

Head to Head

Jan 4, 2025 8.30pm

Gameweek 17

Boavista

1-3

Arouca

Agra (71')
Perez (8'), Bacci (9'), Agra (50'), Injai Gomes (55'), Onyemaechi (90+4')
Perez (45+4')

Jason (45+7' pen.), Yalcin (90+5' pen., 90+8')
Simao (40'), Weverson (48'), Gozalbez (70'), Fontan (74'), Santos (82'), Mantl (90+12'), Yalcin (90+6')

> Preview

Jul 27, 2024 1pm

Club Friendlies 3

Boavista

P-P

Arouca

Apr 14, 2024 6pm

Gameweek 29

Arouca

2-1

Boavista

Mujica (30'), Weverson (39')
Simao (34'), Weverson (52'), Montero (82')