Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Arouca

Garcia Gonzalez (58')
Marques (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Puche (56')
Pinto (38'), Sylla (47'), Santos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Arouca
39.23% ( -0.05)	25.65% ( 0.02)	35.12% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27% (

-0.06)

48.73% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

-0.06)

70.84% (

0.06)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-0.05)

24.47% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

-0.08)

58.91% (

0.08)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.01)

26.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0.01)

62.04% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 39.23%

Arouca 35.12%

Draw 25.64%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.12%