Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente1 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
With nothing riding on the outcome for either side, the intensity may be dialled down, and a draw looks a likely outcome, particularly with Arouca's recent struggles cancelling out their historic dominance in the fixture, while Gil Vicente's last home win might prove to be an exception rather than the start of a trend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
39.23% ( -0.05) | 25.65% ( 0.02) | 35.12% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
