Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Araujo (81'), Quaresma (90+3')
St Juste (25'), Araujo (44'), Quaresma (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Correia (26' pen.)
Pablo (45+1'), Elimbi (51'), Andrew (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-5 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Farense
Saturday, April 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
68.33% ( 0.53)	18.28% ( -0.22)	13.4% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.38% (

0.3)

38.62% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.08% (

0.32)

60.92% (

-0.31)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.69% (

0.22)

10.31% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.26% (

0.49)

33.75% (

-0.48)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28% (

-0.26)

40.72% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.23)

77.3% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 68.32%

Gil Vicente 13.4%

Draw 18.28%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.58% Total : 68.32%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.28%	1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.4%