Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Farense

Aboubakar Bamba (90+2')
Mutombo Mawesi (90+4'), Mutombo Mawesi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (14'), Carlos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 0-3 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Boavista
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	SC Farense
41.74% ( 0.45)	27.24% ( 0.01)	31.03% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 49.12% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.84% (

-0.18)

56.16% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.78% (

-0.15)

77.22% (

0.15)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.16)

26.53% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.21)

61.73% (

-0.2)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-0.42)

33.14% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-0.47)

69.74% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 41.73%

SC Farense 31.03%

Draw 27.24%

Gil Vicente	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.03%