Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
1 - 2
Porto

Reisinho (34' pen.)
Kakay (5'), Reisinho (90+2'), Chounkwi Fogning (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mora Carvalho (20'), Marcano (25')
Perez (9')
Perez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Boavista
Monday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.78%) and 0-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Porto
7.95% ( -0.48)	14.55% ( -0.2)	77.5% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.84% (

-0.86)

37.17% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.64% (

-0.93)

59.37% (

0.94)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.99% (

-1.75)

50.01% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.34% (

-1.24)

84.66% (

1.25)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.17% (

-0.05)

7.83% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.22% (

-0.13)

27.78% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Boavista 7.95%

Porto 77.49%

Draw 14.55%

Boavista	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.9% Total : 7.95%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.55%	0-2 @ 12.7% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 10.78% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 7.47% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 6.87% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 3.5% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.12) 0-6 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 77.49%