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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
34.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 42.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.1 0.1)37.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.107 0.11)60% (-0.108 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)55.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)18.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.087000000000003 0.09)49.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.28%
    Leicester City 42.44%
    Draw 23.27%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
16.2%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
70.6%
68
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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