Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Nice |
36% ( -0.03) | 25.66% ( 0) | 38.33% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( -0.02) | 48.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( -0.02) | 70.82% ( 0.01) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( -0.03) | 26.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( -0.04) | 61.34% ( 0.03) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( 0.01) | 24.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 0.01) | 59.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |