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Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Monaco

Lens
2 - 2
Monaco

Maouassa (43'), Sotoca (62')
Maouassa (45+2'), Samba (45+2'), Frankowski (88')
Haise (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (1'), Akliouche (21')
Akliouche (53'), Majecki (79')
Monaco win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-2 Monaco

This may be the most competitive encounter in the third round of this tournament, as both teams have plenty of quality in the attack. Monaco always seem to find another gear when needed away from home, and we believe they will do enough to advance beyond the third round on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
44.95% (1.051 1.05) 24.44% (-0.124 -0.12) 30.6% (-0.931 -0.93)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.145 0.14)44.69% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.139 0.14)67.06% (-0.143 -0.14)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.517 0.52)20.01% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (0.831 0.83)52.2% (-0.835 -0.84)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)27.62% (0.529 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.69 -0.69)63.15% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lens 44.95%
    Monaco 30.6%
    Draw 24.44%
LensDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.6%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
37.7%
Draw
24.5%
Monaco
37.7%
53
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Monaco
3-0
Lens
Singo (24'), Golovin (36'), Maripan (59')
Magassa (33'), Camara (47'), Vanderson (52'), Balogun (78')

Spierings (23'), Medina (64')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lens
3-0
Monaco
Openda (9', 16'), Thomasson (56')
Aug 20, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 3
Monaco
1-4
Lens
Badiashile (41')
Embolo (40'), Vanderson (58'), Ben Yedder (68'), Clement (72')
Vanderson (72')
Openda (7'), Machado (38'), Fofana (55' pen.), Said (78')
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lens
2-2
Monaco
Frankowski (30'), Ganago (90+5')
Danso (32'), Gradit (84')
Badiashile (34'), Ben Yedder (62')
Volland (84'), Tchouameni (86'), Henrique (88')
Jan 30, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Lens
2-4
Monaco
Said (45'), Kalimuendo (53')
Ben Yedder (18', 88'), Lucas (27'), Diop (29')
Golovin (72')
rhs 2.0
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