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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union and Cincinnati have enjoyed a solid campaign and find themselves in the upper echelons of the Eastern Conference table. The Union's home record in this fixture makes them slight favourites and we see them claiming all three points in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
62.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)63.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)37.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.04%
    FC Cincinnati 17.32%
    Draw 20.63%
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.32%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7New York City FCNY City104241110114
8DC United113531617-114
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Austin FCAustin114431413116
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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