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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Almeria

Osasuna
3 - 1
Almeria

Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lazaro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are in the better form entering this match, but it is difficult to back them on the road considering their struggles this term. Osasuna will be determined to return to winning ways, but we believe that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
59.86% (0.07 0.07) 21.17% (-0.023 -0.02) 18.97% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.067 0.07)40.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.32% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.08% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 59.86%
    Almeria 18.97%
    Draw 21.17%
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Almeria

Osasuna
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Almeria
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna
Avila (28')
Garcia (5')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 23
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
gameweek 4
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca32613132638-1231
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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