Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
59.86% ( 0.07) | 21.17% ( -0.02) | 18.97% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% ( 0.04) | 41.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.04) | 63.54% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% ( 0.03) | 13.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% ( 0.07) | 40.27% ( -0.06) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.02) | 35.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.02) | 72.08% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |