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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lyon

Nice
3 - 1
Lyon

Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Lyon

Lyon have been one of the best sides in France during 2023, and even though they will fancy their chances to win here, it will surely not be enough to claim a spot in Europe. Despite a run of five wins in their last seven home league games against Lyon, Nice face a very in-form outfit, determined to finish the season strongly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
37.81% (0.367 0.37) 26.05% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 36.14% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.19 0.19)50.39% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.169 0.17)72.33% (-0.175 -0.17)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.294 0.29)26% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.397 0.4)61.02% (-0.403 -0.4)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)26.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.127 -0.13)62.29% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nice 37.81%
    Lyon 36.14%
    Draw 26.04%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
20.0%
Draw
22.9%
Lyon
57.1%
35
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 16
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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