Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
31.22% ( 0.18) | 27.19% ( 0.58) | 41.58% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( -1.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.07% ( -2.17) | 55.92% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.97% ( -1.79) | 77.02% ( 1.79) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.99) | 32.88% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.54% ( -1.12) | 69.45% ( 1.11) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( -1.39) | 26.5% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.3% ( -1.87) | 61.69% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |