Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lille |
27.4% ( -0.1) | 27.08% ( -0.02) | 45.52% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( 0.04) | 57.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( 0.03) | 77.95% ( -0.03) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.06) | 36.41% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( -0.06) | 73.19% ( 0.06) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0.08) | 25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0.11) | 59.66% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |