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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Austin
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Rigoni (40'), Driussi (78')
Lima (90+7'), Pereira (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yueill (21'), Ebobisse (75')
Monteiro (68'), Yueill (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

While San Jose Earthquakes will be looking to restore some pride following their cup exit, they face an Austin side who have been near impenetrable on home turf. Austin's home advantage gives them a slight edge heading into the weekend and we are backing them to end their winless run against the Quakes.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
59.43% (-1.171 -1.17) 20.7% (0.465 0.47) 19.87% (0.701 0.7)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-1.132 -1.13)37.58% (1.129 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.226 -1.23)59.81% (1.223 1.22)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.63% (-0.676 -0.68)12.36% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.78% (-1.429 -1.43)38.21% (1.426 1.43)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.82% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.43%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.87%
    Draw 20.7%
Austin FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 59.43%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.87%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2am
Austin
3-3
Earthquakes
Cascante (6'), Driussi (26', 44')
Driussi (23'), Stuver (60')
Kikanovic (8'), Marie (20'), Ebobisse (88')
Beason (39'), Yueill (84')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Austin
Ebobisse (70' pen.), Cowell (72')
Marie (31'), Calvo (79'), Bouda (85')
Urruti (11'), Driussi (52' pen.)
Fagundez (42'), Pereira (72'), Redes (77')
Oct 21, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 41
Earthquakes
4-0
Austin
Lopez (47'), Kikanovic (53'), Wondolowski (59'), Fierro (85')
Cardoso (25'), Lopez (81')

Romana (39'), Ring (45+1')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 2am
gameweek 11
Austin
0-0
Earthquakes

Stroud (44')

Jungwirth (15'), Remedi (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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