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Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Crewe Alexandra

Wrexham
3 - 3
Crewe

Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Parkinson will be looking for a response from his side this weekend, after the very disappointing 5-0 defeat away at Stockport County last time out. Wrexham have been very solid at home all season, winning their last three matches at the Racecourse Ground on the spin, so we expect them to bounce back with a victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
66.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 18.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.16% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)59.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.073 -0.07)37.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.073 -0.07)74.48% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 66.42%
    Crewe Alexandra 14.89%
    Draw 18.69%
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-0 @ 4.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 66.42%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.89%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crewe

Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
11
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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