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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
5 - 1
AZ

Bakayoko (9'), de Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

 PSV will be full of confidence coming into this game having had such an excellent season, while AZ are sure to be in short supply having suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat in their last outing, leading us to believe the league leaders will win this one. The two top scorers in the division are set to come face to face in this one, and we expect both to get on the scoresheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
53.61% (0.53599999999999 0.54) 22.43% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.96% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.538 0.54)40.47% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.55200000000001 0.55)62.85% (-0.552 -0.55)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.369 0.37)15.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.693 0.69)43.68% (-0.693 -0.69)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.015999999999991 0.02)30.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.47% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 53.61%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.96%
    Draw 22.43%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
2.8%
AZ Alkmaar
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
7NECNijmegen311211859471247
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
17FC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462
> Eredivisie Full Table


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