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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 Toronto

As Toronto have only scored seven away goals and are yet to win on the road, a team under interim management and shorn of several international stars is set to come up short once more. Orlando seemed to find their rhythm during Saturday's convincing win and will surely score at least once.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
61.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 20.91%17.49%
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)40.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.59%
    Toronto 17.49%
    Draw 20.91%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.21%
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 61.59%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.91%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.58%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.49%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Toronto
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
May 23, 2021 12am
Gameweek 8
Orlando City
1-0
Toronto
Akindele (12')
Akindele (77')

Soteldo (21'), Auro (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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