Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
57.27% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0) | 20.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.08% ( 0) | 44.92% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% ( 0) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% ( 0) | 15.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.72% ( 0.01) | 44.28% ( -0.01) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( -0) | 36.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% ( -0.01) | 72.92% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |