MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 11:24:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
3 - 0
Toulouse

Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Toulouse

After a convincing loss at Nantes and a one-point deduction, it is fair to assume that Montpellier may not be in the best headspace to grind out a result on Sunday. Toulouse return to domestic matters following a humbling evening at Anfield, but we believe Martinez's men will get back to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
46.31% (-0.287 -0.29) 24.21% (0.12 0.12) 29.48% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.454 -0.45)44.21% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.443 -0.44)66.59% (0.444 0.44)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)19.24% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.496 -0.5)50.95% (0.496 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)28.13% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.148 -0.15)63.81% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 46.31%
    Toulouse 29.48%
    Draw 24.2%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
38.9%
Draw
5.6%
Toulouse
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 32
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3085173149-1829
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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