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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

These encounters have traditionally been high-scoring affairs with five or more goals in three of the last four competitive meetings between the two, and given the defensive struggles of each, we might be in for another goal fest this weekend. LAFC have not played up to their potential in recent outings, but the Galaxy have consistently dug themselves a deficit, and it will be a lot harder to overcome that against one of the top defensive units in MLS this season.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
66.19% (1.042 1.04) 18.04% (-0.464 -0.46) 15.77% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.69% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68% (1.118 1.12)31.99% (-1.123 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.44% (1.295 1.3)53.56% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97% (0.54299999999999 0.54)9.03% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26% (1.294 1.29)30.74% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.040000000000006 0.04)33.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.044 0.04)69.9% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 15.77%
    Draw 18.04%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.16 0.16)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.22% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.124 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.95% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.77%

Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
Jul 9, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
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7.10pm
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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