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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Morecambe
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Notts County
Salford City
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Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Colchester United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Colchester

Lee (4'), Mitchell (69' og.)
Evans (20'), McClean (37'), Tozer (56'), Davies (90+4')
Evans (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fevrier (89')
Taylor (43'), Kelleher (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Colchester United

Having found the net 33 times in their 10 league games at the Racecourse Ground, Wrexham have scored more home goals than any other side in the division, and we think that firepower could prove the deciding factor against a leaky Colchester backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawColchester United
63.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)56.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.07% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 63.61%
    Colchester United 17.27%
    Draw 19.12%
WrexhamDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.38%
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.91%
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 63.61%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 17.27%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Colchester

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
2-2
Colchester
Jones (50'), Sam (80')
Brown (71'), Danns (60')
Fagan (45')
Oct 19, 2004 3pm
Colchester
1-2
Wrexham
Danns (49')
Fagan (75')
Roberts (59'), Llewellyn (90')
Williams (45'), Llewellyn (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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