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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
63.66% ( -0.79) | 20.24% ( 0.26) | 16.1% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( -0.16) | 41.94% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -0.16) | 64.34% ( 0.16) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( -0.27) | 12.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( -0.56) | 38.52% ( 0.56) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( 0.57) | 39.12% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% ( 0.54) | 75.83% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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