Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.46% ( 0.04) | 21.53% ( 0.04) | 61% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.76% ( -0.1) | 45.24% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.42% ( -0.1) | 67.58% ( 0.1) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.57% ( -0) | 39.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.87% ( -0) | 76.13% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.05) | 14.34% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.8% ( -0.11) | 42.2% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.46% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |