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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

 This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.18% (0.42899999999999 0.43) 26.89% (-0.165 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.43 0.43)57.22% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.343 0.34)78.07% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.39700000000001 0.4)24.27% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.557 0.56)58.63% (-0.556 -0.56)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.18%
    Carlisle United 25.93%
    Draw 26.88%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Leyton Orient
3-1
Carlisle
Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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